Where’s all the starter properties? They’re rentals now!

The latest “Housing Insights” report from Fannie Mae provides a potential explanation: Starter home inventory has shifted from owner-occupancy to rentals.

Fannie Mae reports that “the stock of owner-occupied starter homes declined by more than 1 million units between 2005 (roughly the peak of the housing boom) and 2013 (the most recent year for which data are available), whereas the inventory of renter-occupied starter homes rose by approximately 2 million units during this period.”

What’s a starter home?
Starter homes are homes that are under 2,000 square feet and are also occupied by first-time owner-occupants below the age of 35.

This definition is based on pre-bubble housing data that showed 71% of detached single-family homes occupied by young first-time homeowners were under 2,000 square feet – compared to 55% of homes occupied by other homeowners.

Single-family rentals a short-term solution
In accordance with Fannie Mae, the housing bubble and subsequent bust led to a tremendous demand for single-family rental housing.

Between 2005 and 2013, the number of renter-occupied detached single-family homes increased by approximately 3 million, which made up more than half of the total growth in renter-occupied stock.

Meanwhile, the number of owner-occupied starter homes fell by more than 1 million during that same 8-year period.

“The shift of the starter home inventory from owner-occupancy to rentals reflects, at least in part, a much-needed market adjustment in response to imbalances created by the credit bubble and home ownership boom of the early 2000s,” said director of strategic planning Patrick Simmons in a statement.

“The shift helped to remove bloated inventories of vacant and foreclosed single-family homes from the market, while also helping to meet exploding demand for rentals created by the economic downturn, foreclosure crisis, and coming of age of the large Millennial generation.”

But, as he later notes, the short-term solution has changed into a long-term problem for today’s would-be homebuyers, that are already battling the woes of low inventory, due in part to the high number of single-family homes that are used as rentals.

Furthermore, as observed in recent reports by the National Association of Realtors along with the California Association of Realtors, the reduced inventory dilemma is being exacerbated by the deficiency of new single-family homes being built.

Over the past 10 years, the construction volume of single-family homes (detached and attached) has dropped by 8% points to 32% in 2015. Furthermore, by 2011, the number of starter-home completions dove to under 200,000 units per year.

The report reveals that people are building houses again, but they’re for homeowners who are seeking move-up homes with over 2,000 square feet in space.
What gives?

Fannie Mae says its findings don’t bode well for first-time buyers, who are already between between a rock and a hard place when it comes to homeownership.

“In turn, the tight starter home supply and associated rapid price gains in the lower tiers of the home sales market are reducing first-time home buyer affordability,” says Simmons.

In order to lighten the burden, he suggests that private and public institutions give more credence to rent-to-own financing options, and that local governments review “development regulations, impact fees, and construction approval delays that might be hindering the building of entry-level homes.”

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(all data current as of 11/22/2024)

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